Objective indicators allow to follow the overall impact of the NAP on the national economy at a complex operational system level. Based on this information, conclusions are drawn regarding the achievement of resilience and adaptation objectives at country level.
Objective indicators are measured on the basis of the information received at cross-sectoral level (cross-sectoral survey, expert opinion, impact assessment, etc.).
The theory of Change applied for Moldova's NAP Monitoring and Evaluation Framework
Two types of Objective Indicators are proposed:
- Extent to which economic growth and poverty reduction are negatively impacted or restricted by climate variability and climate change
- Amount of economic impact due to climate change/variability.
The results obtained in the first NAP, on the basis of these two indicators, will serve as a baseline for the following NAPs, since adaptation is an iterative process.
According to the theory of change applied in the development of the monitoring and evaluation framework, the results achieved on the basis of the driver indicators should lead to radical changes in the institutional capacities to plan the adaptation, the level of knowledge about the climate risks and vulnerability, the availability of human and financial resources in the implementation of adaptation.
On the basis of this information as well as of that provided by the objective indicators, it will be possible to conclude if the major objective set in the elaboration of the first NAP - " A resilient Moldova is one in which economic growth and poverty reduction are not negatively impacted or restricted by climate variability and climate change"has been reached.